Department of Numbers

New Mexico COVID-19 Case and Testing Statistics

As of Friday April 03 2020, New Mexico had 403 cases of COVID-19. Over the past week, New Mexico was finding 38 new cases per day on average and recording 0.9 deaths per day. Data for New Mexico is provided by the COVID Tracking Project and will be updated daily. The COVID Tracking Project gives New Mexico a data quality grade of: A

Compare New Mexico COVID-19 data to other states.

New Mexico average daily new cases

The chart below shows the trend of new case discovery for New Mexico. Flattening the curve of new daily cases will help alleviate the burden on hospitals and healthcare workers and help ensure that patients that need critical care can get it.

Note: If testing is insufficient the above curve will underrepresent true case discovery. Nationwide daily testing per million residents is currently 336.1. Reported New Mexico testing per million residents per day is 426.8.

New Mexico average daily deaths

Deaths from COVID-19 are likely better reported than the true number of positive cases. As a result, the trend in average daily deaths from COVID-19 might be a more telling measure of progression through the outbreak than daily average positive cases.

Statistics for positive cases of COVID-19 in New Mexico

Total Cases and Total Cases per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Positive measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Cases
Total
Cases
per 1M
Daily
Positives
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positives
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 403 192 38 18.2
04/02/20 363 173 36 17.1
04/01/20 315 150 31 14.7
03/31/20 281 134 28 13.5
03/30/20 237 113 25 11.7
03/29/20 237 113 26 12.3
03/28/20 191 91 19 9.1
03/27/20 136 65 13 6.3
03/26/20 112 53 11 5.2
03/25/20 100 48 10 4.9
03/24/20 83 40 9 4.1
03/23/20 65 31 7 3.3
03/22/20 57 27 6 3.0
03/21/20 57 27 7 3.2
03/20/20 43 21 5 2.2

more history ...

Death statistics for COVID-19 in New Mexico

Total Deaths and Total Deaths per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Death measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Deaths
Total
Deaths
per 1M
Daily
Deaths
(7d Avg)
Daily
Deaths
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 7 3.3 0.9 0.4
04/02/20 6 2.9 0.7 0.3
04/01/20 5 2.4 0.6 0.3
03/31/20 4 1.9 0.6 0.3
03/30/20 2 0.9 0.3 0.1
03/29/20 2 0.9 0.3 0.1
03/28/20 1 0.5 0.1 0.1
03/27/20 1 0.5 0.1 0.1
03/26/20 1 0.5 0.1 0.1
03/25/20 1 0.5 0.1 0.1
03/24/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/23/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/22/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/21/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/20/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0

more history ...

COVID-19 testing statistics in New Mexico

All measures below are rolling 7 day averages except Total Tests and Total Tests per 1M residents which are cumulative counts of COVID-19 tests as of the date reported. Testing statistics are dependent on high quality reporting of negative test results by states. I'm only showing this data for states that don't have implausibly low testing rates and that have an A reporting grade from the COVID Tracking Project.

Date Total
Tests
Total
Tests
per 1M
Daily
Tests
(7d Avg)
Daily
Tests
per 1M
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positive
Rate
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 14,778 7,048 895 427 4.3%
04/02/20 14,011 6,682 888 424 4.0%
04/01/20 13,240 6,314 914 436 3.4%
03/31/20 12,527 5,974 936 447 3.0%
03/30/20 11,179 5,331 828 395 3.0%
03/29/20 11,006 5,249 890 424 2.9%
03/28/20 9,387 4,477 794 379 2.4%
03/27/20 8,513 4,060 671 320 2.0%
03/26/20 7,793 3,717 714 340 1.5%
03/25/20 6,842 3,263 641 306 1.6%
03/24/20 5,973 2,849 672 320 1.3%
03/23/20 5,386 2,569 686 327 1.0%
03/22/20 4,779 2,279 612 292 1.0%
03/21/20 3,828 1,826 512 244 1.3%
03/20/20 3,814 1,819 516 246 0.9%

more history ...

A final word on this analysis

In order to manage the outbreak, states need to increase their testing capacity. As testing increases, the number of detections as a fraction of total tests (positive rate) should hopefully decrease over time. If a state is able to test widely enough (at least 300 tests daily per million residents, probably more) to drive the positive rate down (less than 5%) there may be the potential to manage a regional outbreak with isolation, contact tracing and quarantine South Korea has.

Please take my calculations and amatuer epidemiological speculations with a huge grain of salt as I'm moving quickly to get what I hope are meaningful measures online. There may be errors in my data and my thinking!

These statistics were inspired by posts on Calculated Risk and the Bondad Blog regarding metrics to track for COVID-19.

Last but not least, thanks to the folks at COVID Tracking Project for making this data available to everyone.