Department of Numbers

Utah COVID-19 Case and Testing Statistics

As of Friday April 03 2020, Utah had 1,246 cases of COVID-19. Over the past week, Utah was finding 109 new cases per day on average and recording 0.7 deaths per day. Data for Utah is provided by the COVID Tracking Project and will be updated daily. The COVID Tracking Project gives Utah a data quality grade of: A

Compare Utah COVID-19 data to other states.

Utah average daily new cases

The chart below shows the trend of new case discovery for Utah. Flattening the curve of new daily cases will help alleviate the burden on hospitals and healthcare workers and help ensure that patients that need critical care can get it.

Note: If testing is insufficient the above curve will underrepresent true case discovery. Nationwide daily testing per million residents is currently 336.1. Reported Utah testing per million residents per day is 668.6.

Utah average daily deaths

Deaths from COVID-19 are likely better reported than the true number of positive cases. As a result, the trend in average daily deaths from COVID-19 might be a more telling measure of progression through the outbreak than daily average positive cases.

Statistics for positive cases of COVID-19 in Utah

Total Cases and Total Cases per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Positive measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Cases
Total
Cases
per 1M
Daily
Positives
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positives
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 1,246 389 109 34.1
04/02/20 1,074 335 96 29.9
04/01/20 1,012 316 95 29.7
03/31/20 887 277 84 26.2
03/30/20 806 251 78 24.5
03/29/20 719 224 77 24.0
03/28/20 602 188 67 20.8
03/27/20 480 150 53 16.4
03/26/20 402 125 46 14.4
03/25/20 346 108 40 12.6
03/24/20 299 93 35 11.1
03/23/20 257 80 31 9.7
03/22/20 181 56 22 6.8
03/21/20 136 42 19 5.8
03/20/20 112 35 15 4.7

more history ...

Death statistics for COVID-19 in Utah

Total Deaths and Total Deaths per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Death measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Deaths
Total
Deaths
per 1M
Daily
Deaths
(7d Avg)
Daily
Deaths
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 7 2.2 0.7 0.2
04/02/20 7 2.2 0.9 0.3
04/01/20 7 2.2 0.9 0.3
03/31/20 5 1.6 0.6 0.2
03/30/20 4 1.2 0.4 0.1
03/29/20 2 0.6 0.1 0.0
03/28/20 2 0.6 0.3 0.1
03/27/20 2 0.6 0.3 0.1
03/26/20 1 0.3 0.1 0.0
03/25/20 1 0.3 0.1 0.0
03/24/20 1 0.3 0.1 0.0
03/23/20 1 0.3 0.1 0.0
03/22/20 1 0.3 0.1 0.0
03/21/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/20/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0

more history ...

COVID-19 testing statistics in Utah

All measures below are rolling 7 day averages except Total Tests and Total Tests per 1M residents which are cumulative counts of COVID-19 tests as of the date reported. Testing statistics are dependent on high quality reporting of negative test results by states. I'm only showing this data for states that don't have implausibly low testing rates and that have an A reporting grade from the COVID Tracking Project.

Date Total
Tests
Total
Tests
per 1M
Daily
Tests
(7d Avg)
Daily
Tests
per 1M
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positive
Rate
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 24,248 7,563 2,143 669 5.1%
04/02/20 21,065 6,571 1,908 595 5.0%
04/01/20 21,167 6,602 2,047 639 4.7%
03/31/20 18,513 5,775 1,813 565 4.6%
03/30/20 16,003 4,992 1,565 488 5.0%
03/29/20 13,993 4,365 1,472 459 5.2%
03/28/20 11,312 3,528 1,250 390 5.3%
03/27/20 9,244 2,883 1,014 316 5.2%
03/26/20 7,710 2,405 883 276 5.2%
03/25/20 6,837 2,133 949 296 4.3%
03/24/20 5,823 1,816 806 251 4.4%
03/23/20 5,047 1,574 697 217 4.5%
03/22/20 3,689 1,151 504 157 4.3%
03/21/20 2,560 799 346 108 5.4%
03/20/20 2,147 670 287 90 5.3%

more history ...

A final word on this analysis

In order to manage the outbreak, states need to increase their testing capacity. As testing increases, the number of detections as a fraction of total tests (positive rate) should hopefully decrease over time. If a state is able to test widely enough (at least 300 tests daily per million residents, probably more) to drive the positive rate down (less than 5%) there may be the potential to manage a regional outbreak with isolation, contact tracing and quarantine South Korea has.

Please take my calculations and amatuer epidemiological speculations with a huge grain of salt as I'm moving quickly to get what I hope are meaningful measures online. There may be errors in my data and my thinking!

These statistics were inspired by posts on Calculated Risk and the Bondad Blog regarding metrics to track for COVID-19.

Last but not least, thanks to the folks at COVID Tracking Project for making this data available to everyone.