Department of Numbers

US COVID-19 Case and Testing Statistics

As of Friday April 03 2020, the United States had 271,915 cases of COVID-19. Over the past week, the United States was finding 24,643 new cases per day on average and recording 776.0 deaths per day. Data for the United States is provided by the COVID Tracking Project and will be updated daily.

Compare the United States COVID-19 data to other states.

US average daily new positive cases

The chart below shows the trend of new case discovery for the United States. Flattening the curve of new daily cases will help alleviate the burden on hospitals and healthcare workers and help ensure that patients that need critical care can get it.

US average daily deaths

Deaths from COVID-19 are likely better reported than the true number of positive cases. As a result, the trend in average daily deaths from COVID-19 might be a more telling measure of progression through the outbreak than daily average positive cases.

Statistics for positive cases of COVID-19 in the United States

Total Cases and Total Cases per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Positive measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Cases
Total
Cases
per 1M
Daily
Positives
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positives
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 271,915 819 24,643 74.3
04/02/20 239,009 720 22,611 68.1
04/01/20 210,770 635 20,977 63.2
03/31/20 184,683 557 18,961 57.1
03/30/20 160,530 484 16,911 51.0
03/29/20 139,061 419 15,312 46.1
03/28/20 118,234 356 13,577 40.9
03/27/20 99,413 300 11,769 35.5
03/26/20 80,735 243 9,859 29.7
03/25/20 63,928 193 8,028 24.2
03/24/20 51,954 157 6,605 19.9
03/23/20 42,152 127 5,448 16.4
03/22/20 31,879 96 4,101 12.4
03/21/20 23,197 70 2,964 8.9
03/20/20 17,033 51 2,159 6.5

more history ...

Death statistics for COVID-19 in the United States

Total Deaths and Total Deaths per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Death measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Deaths
Total
Deaths
per 1M
Daily
Deaths
(7d Avg)
Daily
Deaths
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 6,962 21.0 776.0 2.3
04/02/20 5,784 17.4 660.1 2.0
04/01/20 4,700 14.2 542.9 1.6
03/31/20 3,746 11.3 438.7 1.3
03/30/20 2,939 8.9 352.6 1.1
03/29/20 2,428 7.3 290.0 0.9
03/28/20 1,965 5.9 241.9 0.7
03/27/20 1,530 4.6 187.3 0.6
03/26/20 1,163 3.5 143.3 0.4
03/25/20 900 2.7 112.6 0.3
03/24/20 675 2.0 83.6 0.2
03/23/20 471 1.4 57.1 0.2
03/22/20 398 1.2 48.3 0.1
03/21/20 272 0.8 31.9 0.1
03/20/20 219 0.7 25.7 0.1

more history ...

COVID-19 testing statistics in the United States

All measures below are rolling 7 day averages except Total Tests and Total Tests per 1M residents which are cumulative counts of COVID-19 tests as of the date reported. Testing statistics are dependent on high quality reporting of negative test results by states.

Date Total
Tests
Total
Tests
per 1M
Daily
Tests
(7d Avg)
Daily
Tests
per 1M
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positive
Rate
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 1,407,271 4,241 111,520 336 22.1%
04/02/20 1,267,658 3,820 106,903 322 21.1%
04/01/20 1,149,960 3,466 104,061 314 20.2%
03/31/20 1,048,884 3,161 100,593 303 18.9%
03/30/20 944,854 2,848 95,054 286 17.8%
03/29/20 831,351 2,505 86,573 261 17.7%
03/28/20 735,704 2,217 79,514 240 17.1%
03/27/20 626,633 1,889 70,208 212 16.8%
03/26/20 519,338 1,565 59,781 180 16.5%
03/25/20 421,532 1,270 49,654 150 16.2%
03/24/20 344,732 1,039 41,629 125 15.9%
03/23/20 279,473 842 34,193 103 15.9%
03/22/20 225,342 679 28,517 86 14.4%
03/21/20 179,106 540 22,793 69 13.0%
03/20/20 135,180 407 17,092 52 12.6%

more history ...

A final word on this analysis

In order to manage the outbreak, states need to increase their testing capacity. As testing increases, the number of detections as a fraction of total tests (positive rate) should hopefully decrease over time. If a state is able to test widely enough (at least 300 tests daily per million residents, probably more) to drive the positive rate down (less than 5%) there may be the potential to manage a regional outbreak with isolation, contact tracing and quarantine South Korea has.

Please take my calculations and amatuer epidemiological speculations with a huge grain of salt as I'm moving quickly to get what I hope are meaningful measures online. There may be errors in my data and my thinking!

These statistics were inspired by posts on Calculated Risk and the Bondad Blog regarding metrics to track for COVID-19.

Last but not least, thanks to the folks at COVID Tracking Project for making this data available to everyone.