Department of Numbers

Ohio COVID-19 Case and Testing Statistics

As of Friday April 03 2020, Ohio had 3,312 cases of COVID-19. Over the past week, Ohio was finding 311 new cases per day on average and recording 10.3 deaths per day. Data for Ohio is provided by the COVID Tracking Project and will be updated daily. The COVID Tracking Project gives Ohio a data quality grade of: B

Compare Ohio COVID-19 data to other states.

Ohio average daily new cases

The chart below shows the trend of new case discovery for Ohio. Flattening the curve of new daily cases will help alleviate the burden on hospitals and healthcare workers and help ensure that patients that need critical care can get it.

Note: If testing is insufficient the above curve will underrepresent true case discovery. Nationwide daily testing per million residents is currently 336.1. Reported Ohio testing per million residents per day is 222.8. Ohio testing may be underreported or insufficient relative to the US as a whole.

Ohio average daily deaths

Deaths from COVID-19 are likely better reported than the true number of positive cases. As a result, the trend in average daily deaths from COVID-19 might be a more telling measure of progression through the outbreak than daily average positive cases.

Statistics for positive cases of COVID-19 in Ohio

Total Cases and Total Cases per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Positive measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Cases
Total
Cases
per 1M
Daily
Positives
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positives
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 3,312 283 311 26.6
04/02/20 2,902 248 291 24.9
04/01/20 2,547 218 263 22.5
03/31/20 2,199 188 234 20.0
03/30/20 1,933 165 213 18.2
03/29/20 1,653 141 186 15.9
03/28/20 1,406 120 166 14.2
03/27/20 1,137 97 138 11.8
03/26/20 867 74 107 9.1
03/25/20 704 60 88 7.5
03/24/20 564 48 71 6.1
03/23/20 442 38 56 4.8
03/22/20 351 30 45 3.9
03/21/20 247 21 33 2.9
03/20/20 169 14 22 1.9

more history ...

Death statistics for COVID-19 in Ohio

Total Deaths and Total Deaths per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Death measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Deaths
Total
Deaths
per 1M
Daily
Deaths
(7d Avg)
Daily
Deaths
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 91 7.8 10.3 0.9
04/02/20 81 6.9 9.4 0.8
04/01/20 65 5.6 7.9 0.7
03/31/20 55 4.7 6.7 0.6
03/30/20 39 3.3 4.7 0.4
03/29/20 29 2.5 3.7 0.3
03/28/20 25 2.1 3.1 0.3
03/27/20 19 1.6 2.6 0.2
03/26/20 15 1.3 2.1 0.2
03/25/20 10 0.9 1.4 0.1
03/24/20 8 0.7 1.1 0.1
03/23/20 6 0.5 0.9 0.1
03/22/20 3 0.3 0.4 0.0
03/21/20 3 0.3 0.4 0.0
03/20/20 1 0.1 0.1 0.0

more history ...

COVID-19 testing statistics in Ohio

Testing metrics for Ohio are too low for me to have faith that they are being accurately reported. I'm only reporting testing statistics for states with an A data grade from the COVID Tracking Project that test at a rate of at least 100 per million residents per day. Ohio is either not testing at that level or is not reporting their testing fully.

A final word on this analysis

In order to manage the outbreak, states need to increase their testing capacity. As testing increases, the number of detections as a fraction of total tests (positive rate) should hopefully decrease over time. If a state is able to test widely enough (at least 300 tests daily per million residents, probably more) to drive the positive rate down (less than 5%) there may be the potential to manage a regional outbreak with isolation, contact tracing and quarantine South Korea has.

Please take my calculations and amatuer epidemiological speculations with a huge grain of salt as I'm moving quickly to get what I hope are meaningful measures online. There may be errors in my data and my thinking!

These statistics were inspired by posts on Calculated Risk and the Bondad Blog regarding metrics to track for COVID-19.

Last but not least, thanks to the folks at COVID Tracking Project for making this data available to everyone.