Department of Numbers

Nevada COVID-19 Case and Testing Statistics

As of Friday April 03 2020, Nevada had 1,514 cases of COVID-19. Over the past week, Nevada was finding 140 new cases per day on average and recording 4.7 deaths per day. Data for Nevada is provided by the COVID Tracking Project and will be updated daily. The COVID Tracking Project gives Nevada a data quality grade of: A

Compare Nevada COVID-19 data to other states.

Nevada average daily new cases

The chart below shows the trend of new case discovery for Nevada. Flattening the curve of new daily cases will help alleviate the burden on hospitals and healthcare workers and help ensure that patients that need critical care can get it.

Note: If testing is insufficient the above curve will underrepresent true case discovery. Nationwide daily testing per million residents is currently 336.1. Reported Nevada testing per million residents per day is 363.4.

Nevada average daily deaths

Deaths from COVID-19 are likely better reported than the true number of positive cases. As a result, the trend in average daily deaths from COVID-19 might be a more telling measure of progression through the outbreak than daily average positive cases.

Statistics for positive cases of COVID-19 in Nevada

Total Cases and Total Cases per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Positive measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Cases
Total
Cases
per 1M
Daily
Positives
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positives
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 1,514 492 140 45.4
04/02/20 1,458 473 148 48.1
04/01/20 1,279 415 137 44.4
03/31/20 1,113 361 119 38.7
03/30/20 1,008 327 109 35.4
03/29/20 738 240 78 25.4
03/28/20 621 202 71 23.1
03/27/20 535 174 61 19.8
03/26/20 420 136 46 15.1
03/25/20 321 104 38 12.3
03/24/20 278 90 32 10.3
03/23/20 245 80 29 9.3
03/22/20 190 62 24 7.8
03/21/20 124 40 15 4.8
03/20/20 109 35 14 4.5

more history ...

Death statistics for COVID-19 in Nevada

Total Deaths and Total Deaths per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Death measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Deaths
Total
Deaths
per 1M
Daily
Deaths
(7d Avg)
Daily
Deaths
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 43 14.0 4.7 1.5
04/02/20 38 12.3 4.0 1.3
04/01/20 26 8.4 2.9 0.9
03/31/20 17 5.5 1.9 0.6
03/30/20 15 4.9 1.6 0.5
03/29/20 14 4.5 1.7 0.6
03/28/20 10 3.2 1.1 0.4
03/27/20 10 3.2 1.3 0.4
03/26/20 10 3.2 1.3 0.4
03/25/20 6 1.9 0.7 0.2
03/24/20 4 1.3 0.4 0.1
03/23/20 4 1.3 0.4 0.1
03/22/20 2 0.7 0.3 0.1
03/21/20 2 0.7 0.3 0.1
03/20/20 1 0.3 0.1 0.1

more history ...

COVID-19 testing statistics in Nevada

All measures below are rolling 7 day averages except Total Tests and Total Tests per 1M residents which are cumulative counts of COVID-19 tests as of the date reported. Testing statistics are dependent on high quality reporting of negative test results by states. I'm only showing this data for states that don't have implausibly low testing rates and that have an A reporting grade from the COVID Tracking Project.

Date Total
Tests
Total
Tests
per 1M
Daily
Tests
(7d Avg)
Daily
Tests
per 1M
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positive
Rate
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 14,532 4,718 1,119 363 12.5%
04/02/20 14,046 4,560 1,276 414 11.6%
04/01/20 12,798 4,155 1,175 382 11.7%
03/31/20 11,794 3,829 1,080 351 11.0%
03/30/20 11,215 3,641 1,069 347 10.2%
03/29/20 9,150 2,971 930 302 8.4%
03/28/20 8,522 2,767 859 279 8.3%
03/27/20 6,696 2,174 656 213 9.3%
03/26/20 5,117 1,661 485 158 9.6%
03/25/20 4,572 1,484 621 202 6.1%
03/24/20 4,232 1,374 573 186 5.6%
03/23/20 3,735 1,213 503 163 5.7%
03/22/20 2,638 856 350 114 6.9%
03/21/20 2,508 814 331 108 4.5%
03/20/20 2,101 682 275 89 5.1%

more history ...

A final word on this analysis

In order to manage the outbreak, states need to increase their testing capacity. As testing increases, the number of detections as a fraction of total tests (positive rate) should hopefully decrease over time. If a state is able to test widely enough (at least 300 tests daily per million residents, probably more) to drive the positive rate down (less than 5%) there may be the potential to manage a regional outbreak with isolation, contact tracing and quarantine South Korea has.

Please take my calculations and amatuer epidemiological speculations with a huge grain of salt as I'm moving quickly to get what I hope are meaningful measures online. There may be errors in my data and my thinking!

These statistics were inspired by posts on Calculated Risk and the Bondad Blog regarding metrics to track for COVID-19.

Last but not least, thanks to the folks at COVID Tracking Project for making this data available to everyone.