Department of Numbers

Maine COVID-19 Case and Testing Statistics

As of Friday April 03 2020, Maine had 432 cases of COVID-19. Over the past week, Maine was finding 38 new cases per day on average and recording 1.1 deaths per day. Data for Maine is provided by the COVID Tracking Project and will be updated daily. The COVID Tracking Project gives Maine a data quality grade of: A

Compare Maine COVID-19 data to other states.

Maine average daily new cases

The chart below shows the trend of new case discovery for Maine. Flattening the curve of new daily cases will help alleviate the burden on hospitals and healthcare workers and help ensure that patients that need critical care can get it.

Note: If testing is insufficient the above curve will underrepresent true case discovery. Nationwide daily testing per million residents is currently 336.1. Reported Maine testing per million residents per day is 314.4. Maine testing may be underreported or insufficient relative to the US as a whole.

Maine average daily deaths

Deaths from COVID-19 are likely better reported than the true number of positive cases. As a result, the trend in average daily deaths from COVID-19 might be a more telling measure of progression through the outbreak than daily average positive cases.

Statistics for positive cases of COVID-19 in Maine

Total Cases and Total Cases per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Positive measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Cases
Total
Cases
per 1M
Daily
Positives
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positives
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 432 321 38 28.1
04/02/20 376 280 32 23.5
04/01/20 344 256 28 20.7
03/31/20 303 225 25 18.9
03/30/20 275 205 24 17.9
03/29/20 253 188 23 17.4
03/28/20 211 157 20 14.7
03/27/20 168 125 16 11.8
03/26/20 155 115 15 10.8
03/25/20 149 111 15 11.3
03/24/20 125 93 13 9.9
03/23/20 107 80 13 9.6
03/22/20 89 66 12 9.1
03/21/20 73 54 10 7.4
03/20/20 57 42 8 5.7

more history ...

Death statistics for COVID-19 in Maine

Total Deaths and Total Deaths per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Death measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Deaths
Total
Deaths
per 1M
Daily
Deaths
(7d Avg)
Daily
Deaths
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 9 6.7 1.1 0.8
04/02/20 7 5.2 1.0 0.7
04/01/20 7 5.2 1.0 0.7
03/31/20 5 3.7 0.7 0.5
03/30/20 3 2.2 0.4 0.3
03/29/20 3 2.2 0.4 0.3
03/28/20 1 0.7 0.1 0.1
03/27/20 1 0.7 0.1 0.1
03/26/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/25/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/24/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/23/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/22/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/21/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/20/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0

more history ...

COVID-19 testing statistics in Maine

All measures below are rolling 7 day averages except Total Tests and Total Tests per 1M residents which are cumulative counts of COVID-19 tests as of the date reported. Testing statistics are dependent on high quality reporting of negative test results by states. I'm only showing this data for states that don't have implausibly low testing rates and that have an A reporting grade from the COVID Tracking Project.

Date Total
Tests
Total
Tests
per 1M
Daily
Tests
(7d Avg)
Daily
Tests
per 1M
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positive
Rate
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 6,520 4,850 423 314 8.9%
04/02/20 6,464 4,809 416 310 7.6%
04/01/20 6,432 4,785 444 330 6.3%
03/31/20 6,391 4,754 465 346 5.5%
03/30/20 3,669 2,729 110 82 21.8%
03/29/20 3,647 2,713 185 138 12.7%
03/28/20 3,605 2,682 181 135 10.9%
03/27/20 3,562 2,650 177 132 8.9%
03/26/20 3,549 2,640 213 159 6.8%
03/25/20 3,326 2,474 230 171 6.6%
03/24/20 3,139 2,335 258 192 5.2%
03/23/20 2,898 2,156 302 225 4.2%
03/22/20 2,353 1,750 323 240 3.8%
03/21/20 2,337 1,739 320 238 3.1%
03/20/20 2,321 1,727 318 237 2.4%

more history ...

A final word on this analysis

In order to manage the outbreak, states need to increase their testing capacity. As testing increases, the number of detections as a fraction of total tests (positive rate) should hopefully decrease over time. If a state is able to test widely enough (at least 300 tests daily per million residents, probably more) to drive the positive rate down (less than 5%) there may be the potential to manage a regional outbreak with isolation, contact tracing and quarantine South Korea has.

Please take my calculations and amatuer epidemiological speculations with a huge grain of salt as I'm moving quickly to get what I hope are meaningful measures online. There may be errors in my data and my thinking!

These statistics were inspired by posts on Calculated Risk and the Bondad Blog regarding metrics to track for COVID-19.

Last but not least, thanks to the folks at COVID Tracking Project for making this data available to everyone.