Department of Numbers

Louisiana COVID-19 Case and Testing Statistics

As of Friday April 03 2020, Louisiana had 10,297 cases of COVID-19. Over the past week, Louisiana was finding 1,079 new cases per day on average and recording 35.9 deaths per day. Data for Louisiana is provided by the COVID Tracking Project and will be updated daily. The COVID Tracking Project gives Louisiana a data quality grade of: A

Compare Louisiana COVID-19 data to other states.

Louisiana average daily new cases

The chart below shows the trend of new case discovery for Louisiana. Flattening the curve of new daily cases will help alleviate the burden on hospitals and healthcare workers and help ensure that patients that need critical care can get it.

Note: If testing is insufficient the above curve will underrepresent true case discovery. Nationwide daily testing per million residents is currently 336.1. Reported Louisiana testing per million residents per day is 992.1.

Louisiana average daily deaths

Deaths from COVID-19 are likely better reported than the true number of positive cases. As a result, the trend in average daily deaths from COVID-19 might be a more telling measure of progression through the outbreak than daily average positive cases.

Statistics for positive cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana

Total Cases and Total Cases per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Positive measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Cases
Total
Cases
per 1M
Daily
Positives
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positives
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 10,297 2,215 1,079 232.0
04/02/20 9,150 1,968 978 210.3
04/01/20 6,424 1,382 661 142.2
03/31/20 5,237 1,127 550 118.3
03/30/20 4,025 866 408 87.7
03/29/20 3,540 761 386 83.1
03/28/20 3,315 713 390 83.9
03/27/20 2,746 591 324 69.7
03/26/20 2,305 496 280 60.2
03/25/20 1,795 386 222 47.8
03/24/20 1,388 299 174 37.4
03/23/20 1,172 252 151 32.5
03/22/20 837 180 107 22.9
03/21/20 585 126 74 15.9
03/20/20 479 103 63 13.6

more history ...

Death statistics for COVID-19 in Louisiana

Total Deaths and Total Deaths per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Death measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Deaths
Total
Deaths
per 1M
Daily
Deaths
(7d Avg)
Daily
Deaths
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 370 79.6 35.9 7.7
04/02/20 310 66.7 32.4 7.0
04/01/20 273 58.7 29.7 6.4
03/31/20 239 51.4 27.6 5.9
03/30/20 185 39.8 21.6 4.6
03/29/20 151 32.5 18.7 4.0
03/28/20 137 29.5 17.3 3.7
03/27/20 119 25.6 15.3 3.3
03/26/20 83 17.9 10.7 2.3
03/25/20 65 14.0 8.4 1.8
03/24/20 46 9.9 6.0 1.3
03/23/20 34 7.3 4.6 1.0
03/22/20 20 4.3 2.6 0.6
03/21/20 16 3.4 2.3 0.5
03/20/20 12 2.6 1.7 0.4

more history ...

COVID-19 testing statistics in Louisiana

All measures below are rolling 7 day averages except Total Tests and Total Tests per 1M residents which are cumulative counts of COVID-19 tests as of the date reported. Testing statistics are dependent on high quality reporting of negative test results by states. I'm only showing this data for states that don't have implausibly low testing rates and that have an A reporting grade from the COVID Tracking Project.

Date Total
Tests
Total
Tests
per 1M
Daily
Tests
(7d Avg)
Daily
Tests
per 1M
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positive
Rate
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 53,645 11,540 4,612 992 23.4%
04/02/20 51,086 10,989 4,722 1,016 20.7%
04/01/20 45,776 9,847 4,904 1,055 13.5%
03/31/20 38,967 8,382 4,338 933 12.7%
03/30/20 34,033 7,321 4,012 863 10.2%
03/29/20 27,871 5,995 3,482 749 11.1%
03/28/20 25,161 5,412 3,199 688 12.2%
03/27/20 21,359 4,595 2,902 624 11.2%
03/26/20 18,029 3,878 2,461 529 11.4%
03/25/20 11,451 2,463 1,554 334 14.3%
03/24/20 8,603 1,851 1,164 250 14.9%
03/23/20 5,948 1,279 807 174 18.7%
03/22/20 3,498 752 464 100 22.9%
03/21/20 2,765 595 370 80 20.0%
03/20/20 1,047 225 139 30 45.5%

more history ...

A final word on this analysis

In order to manage the outbreak, states need to increase their testing capacity. As testing increases, the number of detections as a fraction of total tests (positive rate) should hopefully decrease over time. If a state is able to test widely enough (at least 300 tests daily per million residents, probably more) to drive the positive rate down (less than 5%) there may be the potential to manage a regional outbreak with isolation, contact tracing and quarantine South Korea has.

Please take my calculations and amatuer epidemiological speculations with a huge grain of salt as I'm moving quickly to get what I hope are meaningful measures online. There may be errors in my data and my thinking!

These statistics were inspired by posts on Calculated Risk and the Bondad Blog regarding metrics to track for COVID-19.

Last but not least, thanks to the folks at COVID Tracking Project for making this data available to everyone.