Department of Numbers

Indiana COVID-19 Case and Testing Statistics

As of Friday April 03 2020, Indiana had 3,437 cases of COVID-19. Over the past week, Indiana was finding 351 new cases per day on average and recording 11.1 deaths per day. Data for Indiana is provided by the COVID Tracking Project and will be updated daily. The COVID Tracking Project gives Indiana a data quality grade of: B

Compare Indiana COVID-19 data to other states.

Indiana average daily new cases

The chart below shows the trend of new case discovery for Indiana. Flattening the curve of new daily cases will help alleviate the burden on hospitals and healthcare workers and help ensure that patients that need critical care can get it.

Note: If testing is insufficient the above curve will underrepresent true case discovery. Nationwide daily testing per million residents is currently 336.1. Reported Indiana testing per million residents per day is 231.3. Indiana testing may be underreported or insufficient relative to the US as a whole.

Indiana average daily deaths

Deaths from COVID-19 are likely better reported than the true number of positive cases. As a result, the trend in average daily deaths from COVID-19 might be a more telling measure of progression through the outbreak than daily average positive cases.

Statistics for positive cases of COVID-19 in Indiana

Total Cases and Total Cases per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Positive measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Cases
Total
Cases
per 1M
Daily
Positives
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positives
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 3,437 511 351 52.1
04/02/20 3,039 451 342 50.8
04/01/20 2,565 381 298 44.3
03/31/20 2,159 321 256 38.1
03/30/20 1,786 265 218 32.4
03/29/20 1,514 225 188 27.9
03/28/20 1,232 183 158 23.5
03/27/20 981 146 129 19.1
03/26/20 645 96 84 12.5
03/25/20 477 71 63 9.3
03/24/20 365 54 48 7.1
03/23/20 259 38 34 5.0
03/22/20 201 30 26 3.9
03/21/20 126 19 16 2.4
03/20/20 79 12 10 1.4

more history ...

Death statistics for COVID-19 in Indiana

Total Deaths and Total Deaths per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Death measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Deaths
Total
Deaths
per 1M
Daily
Deaths
(7d Avg)
Daily
Deaths
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 102 15.2 11.1 1.7
04/02/20 78 11.6 8.7 1.3
04/01/20 65 9.7 7.3 1.1
03/31/20 49 7.3 5.3 0.8
03/30/20 35 5.2 4.0 0.6
03/29/20 32 4.8 3.7 0.6
03/28/20 31 4.6 3.9 0.6
03/27/20 24 3.6 3.1 0.5
03/26/20 17 2.5 2.1 0.3
03/25/20 14 2.1 1.7 0.2
03/24/20 12 1.8 1.4 0.2
03/23/20 7 1.0 0.9 0.1
03/22/20 6 0.9 0.9 0.1
03/21/20 4 0.6 0.6 0.1
03/20/20 2 0.3 0.3 0.0

more history ...

COVID-19 testing statistics in Indiana

Testing metrics for Indiana are too low for me to have faith that they are being accurately reported. I'm only reporting testing statistics for states with an A data grade from the COVID Tracking Project that test at a rate of at least 100 per million residents per day. Indiana is either not testing at that level or is not reporting their testing fully.

A final word on this analysis

In order to manage the outbreak, states need to increase their testing capacity. As testing increases, the number of detections as a fraction of total tests (positive rate) should hopefully decrease over time. If a state is able to test widely enough (at least 300 tests daily per million residents, probably more) to drive the positive rate down (less than 5%) there may be the potential to manage a regional outbreak with isolation, contact tracing and quarantine South Korea has.

Please take my calculations and amatuer epidemiological speculations with a huge grain of salt as I'm moving quickly to get what I hope are meaningful measures online. There may be errors in my data and my thinking!

These statistics were inspired by posts on Calculated Risk and the Bondad Blog regarding metrics to track for COVID-19.

Last but not least, thanks to the folks at COVID Tracking Project for making this data available to everyone.