Department of Numbers

Idaho COVID-19 Case and Testing Statistics

As of Friday April 03 2020, Idaho had 891 cases of COVID-19. Over the past week, Idaho was finding 100 new cases per day on average and recording 0.9 deaths per day. Data for Idaho is provided by the COVID Tracking Project and will be updated daily. The COVID Tracking Project gives Idaho a data quality grade of: A

Compare Idaho COVID-19 data to other states.

Idaho average daily new cases

The chart below shows the trend of new case discovery for Idaho. Flattening the curve of new daily cases will help alleviate the burden on hospitals and healthcare workers and help ensure that patients that need critical care can get it.

Note: If testing is insufficient the above curve will underrepresent true case discovery. Nationwide daily testing per million residents is currently 336.1. Reported Idaho testing per million residents per day is 406.7.

Idaho average daily deaths

Deaths from COVID-19 are likely better reported than the true number of positive cases. As a result, the trend in average daily deaths from COVID-19 might be a more telling measure of progression through the outbreak than daily average positive cases.

Statistics for positive cases of COVID-19 in Idaho

Total Cases and Total Cases per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Positive measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Cases
Total
Cases
per 1M
Daily
Positives
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positives
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 891 499 100 56.1
04/02/20 669 374 78 43.6
04/01/20 525 294 65 36.1
03/31/20 415 232 52 29.2
03/30/20 310 173 38 21.0
03/29/20 261 146 31 17.5
03/28/20 230 129 28 15.9
03/27/20 189 106 24 13.3
03/26/20 123 69 16 8.9
03/25/20 73 41 9 5.1
03/24/20 50 28 6 3.4
03/23/20 47 26 6 3.4
03/22/20 42 24 5 3.0
03/21/20 31 17 4 2.3
03/20/20 23 13 3 1.8

more history ...

Death statistics for COVID-19 in Idaho

Total Deaths and Total Deaths per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Death measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Deaths
Total
Deaths
per 1M
Daily
Deaths
(7d Avg)
Daily
Deaths
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 9 5.0 0.9 0.5
04/02/20 9 5.0 1.3 0.7
04/01/20 9 5.0 1.3 0.7
03/31/20 7 3.9 1.0 0.6
03/30/20 6 3.4 0.9 0.5
03/29/20 5 2.8 0.7 0.4
03/28/20 4 2.2 0.6 0.3
03/27/20 3 1.7 0.4 0.2
03/26/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/25/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/24/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/23/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/22/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/21/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
03/20/20 0 0.0 0.0 0.0

more history ...

COVID-19 testing statistics in Idaho

All measures below are rolling 7 day averages except Total Tests and Total Tests per 1M residents which are cumulative counts of COVID-19 tests as of the date reported. Testing statistics are dependent on high quality reporting of negative test results by states. I'm only showing this data for states that don't have implausibly low testing rates and that have an A reporting grade from the COVID Tracking Project.

Date Total
Tests
Total
Tests
per 1M
Daily
Tests
(7d Avg)
Daily
Tests
per 1M
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positive
Rate
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 7,945 4,446 727 407 13.8%
04/02/20 7,282 4,075 728 407 10.7%
04/01/20 6,601 3,694 663 371 9.7%
03/31/20 5,712 3,196 539 302 9.7%
03/30/20 4,706 2,633 479 268 7.8%
03/29/20 4,282 2,396 438 245 7.1%
03/28/20 3,572 1,999 380 213 7.5%
03/27/20 2,857 1,599 321 179 7.4%
03/26/20 2,188 1,224 245 137 6.5%
03/25/20 1,960 1,097 213 119 4.3%
03/24/20 1,937 1,084 226 127 2.7%
03/23/20 1,356 759 155 87 3.9%
03/22/20 1,217 681 148 83 3.6%
03/21/20 911 510 105 59 4.0%
03/20/20 613 343 69 39 4.8%

more history ...

A final word on this analysis

In order to manage the outbreak, states need to increase their testing capacity. As testing increases, the number of detections as a fraction of total tests (positive rate) should hopefully decrease over time. If a state is able to test widely enough (at least 300 tests daily per million residents, probably more) to drive the positive rate down (less than 5%) there may be the potential to manage a regional outbreak with isolation, contact tracing and quarantine South Korea has.

Please take my calculations and amatuer epidemiological speculations with a huge grain of salt as I'm moving quickly to get what I hope are meaningful measures online. There may be errors in my data and my thinking!

These statistics were inspired by posts on Calculated Risk and the Bondad Blog regarding metrics to track for COVID-19.

Last but not least, thanks to the folks at COVID Tracking Project for making this data available to everyone.