Department of Numbers

Florida COVID-19 Case and Testing Statistics

As of Friday April 03 2020, Florida had 9,585 cases of COVID-19. Over the past week, Florida was finding 974 new cases per day on average and recording 18.4 deaths per day. Data for Florida is provided by the COVID Tracking Project and will be updated daily. The COVID Tracking Project gives Florida a data quality grade of: A

Compare Florida COVID-19 data to other states.

Florida average daily new cases

The chart below shows the trend of new case discovery for Florida. Flattening the curve of new daily cases will help alleviate the burden on hospitals and healthcare workers and help ensure that patients that need critical care can get it.

Note: If testing is insufficient the above curve will underrepresent true case discovery. Nationwide daily testing per million residents is currently 336.1. Reported Florida testing per million residents per day is 404.2.

Florida average daily deaths

Deaths from COVID-19 are likely better reported than the true number of positive cases. As a result, the trend in average daily deaths from COVID-19 might be a more telling measure of progression through the outbreak than daily average positive cases.

Statistics for positive cases of COVID-19 in Florida

Total Cases and Total Cases per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Positive measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Cases
Total
Cases
per 1M
Daily
Positives
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positives
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 9,585 446 974 45.4
04/02/20 8,010 373 808 37.6
04/01/20 6,955 324 753 35.1
03/31/20 6,338 295 704 32.8
03/30/20 5,473 255 615 28.6
03/29/20 4,246 198 488 22.7
03/28/20 3,763 175 444 20.6
03/27/20 2,765 129 321 14.9
03/26/20 2,355 110 281 13.1
03/25/20 1,682 78 195 9.1
03/24/20 1,412 66 175 8.2
03/23/20 1,171 55 147 6.8
03/22/20 830 39 102 4.8
03/21/20 658 31 83 3.9
03/20/20 520 24 67 3.1

more history ...

Death statistics for COVID-19 in Florida

Total Deaths and Total Deaths per 1M residents are cumulative counts. Daily Death measures are rolling 7 day averages.

Date Total
Deaths
Total
Deaths
per 1M
Daily
Deaths
(7d Avg)
Daily
Deaths
per 1M
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 163 7.6 18.4 0.9
04/02/20 128 6.0 14.3 0.7
04/01/20 87 4.0 9.3 0.4
03/31/20 77 3.6 8.4 0.4
03/30/20 63 2.9 7.0 0.3
03/29/20 56 2.6 6.1 0.3
03/28/20 54 2.5 6.0 0.3
03/27/20 34 1.6 3.4 0.2
03/26/20 28 1.3 2.9 0.1
03/25/20 22 1.0 2.1 0.1
03/24/20 18 0.8 1.7 0.1
03/23/20 14 0.7 1.4 0.1
03/22/20 13 0.6 1.3 0.1
03/21/20 12 0.6 1.3 0.1
03/20/20 10 0.5 1.1 0.1

more history ...

COVID-19 testing statistics in Florida

All measures below are rolling 7 day averages except Total Tests and Total Tests per 1M residents which are cumulative counts of COVID-19 tests as of the date reported. Testing statistics are dependent on high quality reporting of negative test results by states. I'm only showing this data for states that don't have implausibly low testing rates and that have an A reporting grade from the COVID Tracking Project.

Date Total
Tests
Total
Tests
per 1M
Daily
Tests
(7d Avg)
Daily
Tests
per 1M
(7d Avg)
Daily
Positive
Rate
(7d Avg)
04/03/20 91,722 4,271 8,682 404 11.2%
04/02/20 77,296 3,599 7,314 341 11.0%
04/01/20 66,484 3,095 7,061 329 10.7%
03/31/20 60,623 2,823 6,583 307 10.7%
03/30/20 53,698 2,500 5,923 276 10.4%
03/29/20 43,316 2,017 4,928 229 9.9%
03/28/20 39,129 1,822 4,556 212 9.7%
03/27/20 30,951 1,441 4,080 190 7.9%
03/26/20 26,096 1,215 3,453 161 8.1%
03/25/20 17,056 794 2,217 103 8.8%
03/24/20 14,539 677 1,916 89 9.1%
03/23/20 12,234 570 1,630 76 9.0%
03/22/20 8,820 411 1,147 53 8.9%
03/21/20 7,237 337 955 44 8.7%
03/20/20 2,390 111 266 12 25.2%

more history ...

A final word on this analysis

In order to manage the outbreak, states need to increase their testing capacity. As testing increases, the number of detections as a fraction of total tests (positive rate) should hopefully decrease over time. If a state is able to test widely enough (at least 300 tests daily per million residents, probably more) to drive the positive rate down (less than 5%) there may be the potential to manage a regional outbreak with isolation, contact tracing and quarantine South Korea has.

Please take my calculations and amatuer epidemiological speculations with a huge grain of salt as I'm moving quickly to get what I hope are meaningful measures online. There may be errors in my data and my thinking!

These statistics were inspired by posts on Calculated Risk and the Bondad Blog regarding metrics to track for COVID-19.

Last but not least, thanks to the folks at COVID Tracking Project for making this data available to everyone.